September 25, 2012

Blog Reader Question

It seems that the plan is to present a series of good news next week in order to drive the SP above USD 2 and keep it there for the 5 days needed to be listed on NASDAQ. How do you see this?
Whether this week or next, a series of PRs (e.g., SPA, liver, ESMO, Moffitt, etc.) could drive the common stock share price onto the NASDAQ.

This news-driven common stock share price rise may be insufficient to effectively raise $20-30MM (via the existing shelf filing) to conduct pivotal, key and other trials. Getting onto the NASDAQ via the common stock is good and important, but a company's currency is its stock and dilution could be substantial or large (a $30MM raise at $2.50 per share is something like a 10-11% dilution).

The possibility exists this near-term series of news could be insufficient to push the common stock onto the NASDAQ. As a result, raising money becomes more expensive.

Management has maintained their first choice to minimize dilution and secure necessary trial monies, obviously, is to use significant or sizable upfront payments from a dermatology deal and/or mini-oncology deals (e.g., China, Australasia, etc.). Getting the right deal (e.g., valuation, upfront and milestone payments, royalty percent, etc.) in the context of completed and contemplated regulatory meetings and clinical data may take more time.

Life sciences players currently not in the stock understand Provectus needs to raise capital soon to run certain trials. These investors want to see how this money is raised -- i.e., understand the risk-reward profile -- before jumping into the PVCT pool: sell common stock, do a license deal or two, sell part of PVCTP to a strategic investor, etc. Once the picture is clear, investors should buy.

The PVCTP preferred stock offering vehicle, if led by a less price/valuation sensitive strategic investor, provide several benefits at once: raises valuation, facilitates effective fund raising, brings some or many investors off the sidelines, gets a Provectus security on the NASDAQ, goes toward reducing dilution, etc.

What is management thinking and what situation(s) are they currently facing?

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